Weekly update from our research partner Investsense
Last updated 8 Sept 2026


WHAT: RBA Assistant Governor Hunter said the Board "may well have to raise rates" if inflation runs stronger than forecast.
WHY: The hawkish tone came despite major banks reporting credit demand down 15-20% and business conditions turning negative for the first time in six years.
WHAT: Brent crude ran to an intraday US$110 before closing just below US$105.
WHY: Continued escalation around Iran and a further 1.9 million barrel a day drop in Saudi output drove the spike. The move fed directly into bond markets, with US ten-year yields touching 4.97% and the 30-year reaching its highest since 2007.
WHAT: US core CPI printed near 0.3% month-on-month against a 0.2% consensus, pushing odds of a Fed hike this week from around 60% to near 90%.
WHY: The ECB has already delivered its own 25 basis point increase and a Bank of Japan move is widely expected this week. Rate hikes are now the direction of travel across all three major central banks simultaneously.
WHAT: AI-related capital expenditure is increasingly being funded in bond markets, with global AI capex estimated near US$1 trillion next year and close to US$4 trillion by 2030.
WHY: Hyperscaler credit spreads have roughly tripled over twelve months yet are still relatively narrow compared to what they can afford. A large and largely price-insensitive new borrower arriving alongside government deficits is one reason long yields are grinding higher rather than mean-reverting.
Listen to the Investsense podcast for weekly updates:
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/the-investsense-podcast/id1497076117
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3xR4Vjn77KBpVOj2N15r1p
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